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Red111
875717.7
650233.1
551831.5
Blue69
43519.5
481621.3
771517.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8757204010012014016011169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.10.6
31.632.2
Auto7.6
Teleop18.3
End7.2
red by 11.8
4816
#13
21.30.3
20.821.1
Auto8.7
Teleop6.9
End5.8
Second
31.50.6
30.130.7
Auto9.3
Teleop12.9
End9.3
red by 12.0
435
#19
19.50.3
19.019.3
Auto4.1
Teleop10.3
End5.0
Third
8757
#30
17.70.6
16.216.8
Auto3.8
Teleop7.5
End6.4
blue by 0.1
7715
#14
17.80.3
17.317.5
Auto2.7
Teleop8.0
End7.1