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Red125
875712.4
479549.4
789054.0
Blue117
875819.8
58744.1
456146.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211156080100140160180200125117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.00.3
53.053.3
Auto16.8
Teleop29.1
End8.2
red by 7.7
46.30.2
45.846.0
Auto15.2
Teleop22.3
End8.9
Second
49.40.3
48.448.7
Auto14.9
Teleop25.8
End8.7
red by 5.3
587
#10
44.10.2
43.543.7
Auto8.8
Teleop28.3
End7.0
Third
8757
#24
12.40.3
11.411.7
Auto1.8
Teleop5.1
End5.5
blue by 7.4
8758
#22
19.80.2
19.219.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.4
End7.8