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Red161
900823.5
789054.0
456146.3
Blue72
842934.6
551121.7
453420.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116665010015020016172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.01.6
44.846.5
Auto16.8
Teleop29.1
End8.2
red by 19.4
34.60.1
24.924.9
Auto11.2
Teleop15.7
End7.7
Second
46.31.6
35.637.3
Auto15.2
Teleop22.3
End8.9
red by 24.6
5511
#16
21.70.1
18.418.3
Auto7.0
Teleop8.9
End5.8
Third
23.51.6
22.123.7
Auto9.4
Teleop8.5
End5.7
red by 2.8
4534
#25
20.80.1
24.724.6
Auto7.4
Teleop7.0
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned37%Activation oddsMissed