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Red55
842934.6
874612.3
624013.7
Blue82
650029.4
875819.8
516024.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48670204060801005582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.60.5
25.325.8
Auto11.2
Teleop15.7
End7.7
red by 5.3
6500
#13
29.41.4
21.122.5
Auto8.5
Teleop13.0
End7.8
Second
6240
#23
13.70.8
11.011.8
Auto1.7
Teleop6.6
End5.5
blue by 11.2
5160
#11
24.91.4
22.123.5
Auto7.5
Teleop11.1
End6.4
Third
8746
#12
12.30.5
11.411.8
Auto2.5
Teleop4.4
End5.4
blue by 7.4
8758
#22
19.81.4
17.518.9
Auto3.5
Teleop8.4
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
16%Activation oddsEarned33%Activation oddsEarned