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Red119
650029.4
789054.0
771513.9
Blue121
900029.5
874612.3
479549.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86906080100120140119121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.02.5
45.447.9
Auto16.8
Teleop29.1
End8.2
red by 4.6
49.41.5
45.246.6
Auto14.9
Teleop25.8
End8.7
Second
6500
#13
29.42.5
25.928.5
Auto8.5
Teleop13.0
End7.8
blue by 0.1
29.51.5
26.528.0
Auto7.3
Teleop13.2
End9.0
Third
7715
#21
13.93.9
9.713.7
Auto1.7
Teleop7.6
End4.6
red by 1.6
8746
#12
12.31.5
12.513.9
Auto2.5
Teleop4.4
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
50%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned