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Red128
90038.8
842934.6
809013.0
Blue69
265519.4
560715.2
205931.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90702040608010012014016012869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#4
38.81.5
36.638.1
Auto12.5
Teleop18.5
End7.8
red by 7.4
31.30.3
32.732.4
Auto10.7
Teleop12.6
End8.0
Second
34.61.5
32.433.9
Auto11.2
Teleop15.7
End7.7
red by 15.2
2655
#15
19.40.3
19.819.5
Auto5.3
Teleop12.1
End2.1
Third
8090
#20
13.01.5
12.614.1
Auto3.4
Teleop6.2
End3.4
blue by 2.2
5607
#27
15.20.3
15.615.3
Auto2.7
Teleop7.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
63%Activation oddsEarned30%Activation oddsEarned