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Red140
456146.3
58744.1
875819.8
Blue42
650029.4
900823.5
560715.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120675010015014042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.30.5
44.845.3
Auto15.2
Teleop22.3
End8.9
red by 17.0
6500
#13
29.40.6
30.029.4
Auto8.5
Teleop13.0
End7.8
Second
587
#10
44.10.5
42.643.1
Auto8.8
Teleop28.3
End7.0
red by 20.6
23.50.6
24.223.5
Auto9.4
Teleop8.5
End5.7
Third
8758
#22
19.80.5
18.218.8
Auto3.5
Teleop8.4
End7.8
red by 4.6
5607
#27
15.20.6
15.815.2
Auto2.7
Teleop7.2
End5.3