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Red121
456146.3
58744.1
875819.8
Blue127
842934.6
90038.8
453420.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113986080120140160121127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.30.4
44.444.8
Auto15.2
Teleop22.3
End8.9
red by 7.6
900
#4
38.80.7
38.739.4
Auto12.5
Teleop18.5
End7.8
Second
587
#10
44.10.4
42.242.6
Auto8.8
Teleop28.3
End7.0
red by 9.5
34.60.7
34.535.2
Auto11.2
Teleop15.7
End7.7
Third
8758
#22
19.80.4
17.918.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.4
End7.8
blue by 1.0
4534
#25
20.80.7
20.721.4
Auto7.4
Teleop7.0
End6.3