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Red121
422618.5
460750.5
604549.7
Blue124
288343.0
517237.6
614640.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12612950100150200121124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.50.1
50.450.5
Auto13.9
Teleop27.0
End9.7
red by 7.5
2883
#16
43.00.1
42.943.0
Auto11.7
Teleop22.7
End8.7
Second
49.70.1
49.749.7
Auto15.9
Teleop26.6
End7.2
red by 9.7
6146
#14
40.00.1
39.940.0
Auto10.9
Teleop20.4
End8.7
Third
4226
#18
18.50.1
18.418.5
Auto4.6
Teleop8.0
End5.9
blue by 19.1
37.60.1
37.537.6
Auto5.9
Teleop20.8
End10.9