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Red73
253122.2
723521.5
725742.5
Blue93
265427.7
217521.5
327725.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63612040801007393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.51.6
21.623.2
Auto9.1
Teleop24.9
End8.5
red by 14.8
2654
#31
27.73.9
17.421.3
Auto8.5
Teleop13.3
End5.9
Second
2531
#44
22.21.2
22.023.1
Auto5.5
Teleop9.8
End6.9
blue by 3.0
3277
#32
25.23.9
19.723.6
Auto5.8
Teleop12.0
End7.4
Third
7235
#43
21.51.6
15.116.7
Auto5.6
Teleop8.2
End7.8
red by 0.1
2175
#41
21.53.9
20.424.4
Auto8.8
Teleop8.9
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsMissed30%Activation oddsMissed