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Red52
327526.8
53726.6
645311.9
Blue114
423932.6
247036.7
453935.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58860204010012014016052114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.7
21.120.4
Auto8.1
Teleop12.6
End6.2
blue by 9.8
2470
#15
36.74.1
23.327.4
Auto11.1
Teleop19.6
End5.9
Second
537
#37
26.60.7
21.020.4
Auto7.4
Teleop10.7
End8.6
blue by 8.8
4539
#13
35.44.1
27.931.9
Auto11.9
Teleop20.1
End3.4
Third
6453
#52
11.90.7
16.015.3
Auto3.6
Teleop2.7
End5.5
blue by 20.7
4239
#10
32.63.0
26.329.2
Auto11.2
Teleop14.0
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
39%Activation oddsMissed68%Activation oddsMissed