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Red47
565819.9
592911.0
767723.4
Blue117
563839.2
327526.8
702846.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5093015047117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7677
#23
23.40.4
16.215.8
Auto4.0
Teleop14.0
End5.4
blue by 23.0
46.43.9
37.141.0
Auto16.2
Teleop21.8
End8.5
Second
5658
#48
19.90.6
17.717.2
Auto2.9
Teleop10.4
End6.6
blue by 19.3
39.23.9
24.428.3
Auto12.3
Teleop20.0
End7.0
Third
5929
#38
11.00.6
18.217.6
Auto5.0
Teleop3.0
End3.1
blue by 15.8
26.83.9
20.424.3
Auto8.1
Teleop12.6
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
20%Activation oddsMissed47%Activation oddsEarned