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Red67
723521.5
87724.9
466336.7
Blue117
453629.8
725742.5
423932.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59840204010012014016067117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4663
#12
36.70.9
25.626.5
Auto10.0
Teleop19.6
End7.2
blue by 5.9
42.54.6
29.033.6
Auto9.1
Teleop24.9
End8.5
Second
877
#21
24.90.9
16.817.7
Auto6.9
Teleop10.0
End7.9
blue by 7.8
4239
#10
32.62.8
29.031.7
Auto11.2
Teleop14.0
End7.4
Third
7235
#43
21.50.9
16.317.2
Auto5.6
Teleop8.2
End7.8
blue by 8.3
4536
#20
29.84.6
17.722.3
Auto7.0
Teleop17.6
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsMissed39%Activation oddsEarned