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Red131
517237.6
604549.7
313430.3
Blue81
302631.1
53726.6
87642.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1148720406010014016013181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.71.9
40.942.7
Auto15.9
Teleop26.6
End7.2
red by 6.8
876
#11
42.90.4
35.435.0
Auto10.3
Teleop26.3
End6.3
Second
37.63.1
34.237.3
Auto5.9
Teleop20.8
End10.9
red by 6.5
3026
#19
31.10.4
23.222.8
Auto7.5
Teleop16.4
End7.1
Third
3134
#17
30.33.1
28.031.1
Auto12.1
Teleop11.6
End6.7
red by 3.7
537
#37
26.60.4
26.225.8
Auto7.4
Teleop10.7
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsMissed