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Qual 382023 Great Northern Regional
Red109
725742.5
453935.4
369112.3
Blue86
662824.7
563839.2
842222.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81795060709010011012010986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7257
#4
42.53.7
33.6→37.3
Auto9.1
Teleop24.9
End8.5
red by 3.3
5638
#6
39.20.8
28.7→29.4
Auto12.3
Teleop20.0
End7.0
Second
4539
#13
35.43.7
29.9→33.6
Auto11.9
Teleop20.1
End3.4
red by 10.8
6628
#28
24.70.8
19.4→20.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.4
End9.3
Third
3691
#51
12.33.7
12.0→15.8
Auto3.5
Teleop7.1
End1.6
blue by 10.1
8422
#47
22.30.8
26.1→26.9
Auto4.9
Teleop11.8
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsMissed52%Activation oddsMissed