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Red131
466336.7
604549.7
460750.5
Blue106
420733.4
329330.2
265427.7
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1307050100150200131106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.51.9
44.946.8
Auto13.9
Teleop27.0
End9.7
red by 17.1
4207
#40
33.43.7
22.726.4
Auto9.9
Teleop16.8
End6.7
Second
49.71.1
42.743.9
Auto15.9
Teleop26.6
End7.2
red by 19.5
3293
#22
30.23.7
28.031.6
Auto6.6
Teleop15.6
End8.0
Third
4663
#12
36.71.9
26.528.4
Auto10.0
Teleop19.6
End7.2
red by 8.9
2654
#31
27.73.7
22.326.0
Auto8.5
Teleop13.3
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned29%Activation oddsEarned