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Red100
329330.2
87642.9
363023.0
Blue64
253122.2
662824.7
327526.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions976520408012014016010064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#11
42.91.4
39.140.5
Auto10.3
Teleop26.3
End6.3
red by 16.0
26.80.7
22.922.2
Auto8.1
Teleop12.6
End6.2
Second
3293
#22
30.21.4
26.928.4
Auto6.6
Teleop15.6
End8.0
red by 5.6
6628
#28
24.70.7
20.419.7
Auto3.9
Teleop11.4
End9.3
Third
3630
#34
23.01.4
21.122.5
Auto7.2
Teleop7.6
End8.2
red by 0.8
2531
#44
22.20.4
21.621.2
Auto5.5
Teleop9.8
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned39%Activation oddsEarned