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Red115
725742.5
327526.8
329330.2
Blue107
305828.5
313430.3
288343.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9292607080100110120115107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.53.0
35.638.6
Auto9.1
Teleop24.9
End8.5
blue by 0.5
2883
#16
43.02.0
33.235.3
Auto11.7
Teleop22.7
End8.7
Second
3293
#22
30.23.0
28.431.4
Auto6.6
Teleop15.6
End8.0
blue by 0.1
3134
#17
30.32.0
24.526.5
Auto12.1
Teleop11.6
End6.7
Third
26.83.0
22.225.2
Auto8.1
Teleop12.6
End6.2
blue by 1.6
3058
#26
28.52.0
29.631.6
Auto5.8
Teleop15.7
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsEarned55%Activation oddsEarned