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Red69
565819.9
662824.7
423816.9
Blue82
423932.6
887816.5
888712.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48530204060801006982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6628
#28
24.72.4
19.722.2
Auto3.9
Teleop11.4
End9.3
blue by 7.9
4239
#10
32.61.4
28.930.3
Auto11.2
Teleop14.0
End7.4
Second
5658
#48
19.92.4
16.118.5
Auto2.9
Teleop10.4
End6.6
red by 3.3
8878
#33
16.51.4
13.715.1
Auto6.4
Teleop7.5
End2.6
Third
4238
#49
16.92.4
9.812.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End3.3
red by 4.2
8887
#46
12.72.2
6.28.4
Auto4.2
Teleop6.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
14%Activation oddsEarned21%Activation oddsMissed