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Red58
288343.0
70489.8
662824.7
Blue144
321628.3
702846.4
460750.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6784020406010012014016058144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
#16
43.00.8
28.127.3
Auto11.7
Teleop22.7
End8.7
blue by 7.5
50.57.5
27.434.8
Auto13.9
Teleop27.0
End9.7
Second
6628
#28
24.70.8
17.116.3
Auto3.9
Teleop11.4
End9.3
blue by 21.7
46.47.5
29.236.7
Auto16.2
Teleop21.8
End8.5
Third
7048
#53
9.80.8
20.119.3
Auto4.3
Teleop2.3
End3.1
blue by 18.5
28.37.5
20.227.7
Auto7.1
Teleop13.5
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
47%Activation oddsMissed55%Activation oddsEarned