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Red85
369112.3
87642.9
420733.4
Blue87
419825.0
725742.5
374019.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96920501502008587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#11
42.90.4
43.242.8
Auto10.3
Teleop26.3
End6.3
red by 0.3
42.50.0
41.841.8
Auto9.1
Teleop24.9
End8.5
Second
4207
#40
33.40.4
33.833.4
Auto9.9
Teleop16.8
End6.7
red by 8.4
4198
#29
25.00.0
24.925.0
Auto2.8
Teleop16.5
End5.7
Third
3691
#51
12.30.4
12.712.3
Auto3.5
Teleop7.1
End1.6
blue by 7.3
3740
#36
19.60.0
19.819.8
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsMissed25%Activation oddsEarned