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Red122
422618.5
460750.5
604549.7
Blue101
563839.2
725742.5
313430.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13011780100140160180122101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.50.0
51.251.2
Auto13.9
Teleop27.0
End9.7
red by 8.0
42.50.6
42.441.8
Auto9.1
Teleop24.9
End8.5
Second
49.70.0
50.350.3
Auto15.9
Teleop26.6
End7.2
red by 10.5
39.20.6
39.138.5
Auto12.3
Teleop20.0
End7.0
Third
4226
#18
18.50.0
19.019.1
Auto4.6
Teleop8.0
End5.9
blue by 11.9
3134
#17
30.30.6
30.229.6
Auto12.1
Teleop11.6
End6.7