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Red133
422618.5
460750.5
604549.7
Blue97
453629.8
302631.1
466336.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13198608012014016018013397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.50.4
50.450.8
Auto13.9
Teleop27.0
End9.7
red by 13.8
4663
#12
36.70.0
36.236.3
Auto10.0
Teleop19.6
End7.2
Second
49.70.3
49.650.0
Auto15.9
Teleop26.6
End7.2
red by 18.7
3026
#19
31.10.0
30.630.6
Auto7.5
Teleop16.4
End7.1
Third
4226
#18
18.50.3
18.418.7
Auto4.6
Teleop8.0
End5.9
blue by 11.3
4536
#20
29.80.0
29.429.4
Auto7.0
Teleop17.6
End5.2