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Red118
466336.7
302631.1
453629.8
Blue105
329330.2
423932.6
327526.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10493406080120140160118105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4663
#12
36.70.3
36.336.6
Auto10.0
Teleop19.6
End7.2
red by 4.0
4239
#10
32.60.4
32.332.6
Auto11.2
Teleop14.0
End7.4
Second
3026
#19
31.10.3
30.631.0
Auto7.5
Teleop16.4
End7.1
red by 0.8
3293
#22
30.20.5
29.830.2
Auto6.6
Teleop15.6
End8.0
Third
4536
#20
29.80.3
29.429.7
Auto7.0
Teleop17.6
End5.2
red by 3.0
26.80.5
26.426.8
Auto8.1
Teleop12.6
End6.2