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Qual 32023 STEM Expo
Red115
313432.2
436012.0
87657.4
Blue79
453928.5
327729.0
87722.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1008905015020011579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#1
57.40.1
57.8→57.9
Auto11.7
Teleop44.3
End1.2
red by 28.4
3277
#3
29.00.6
25.0→24.4
Auto3.4
Teleop24.5
End1.2
Second
3134
#6
32.20.1
27.0→27.2
Auto7.6
Teleop24.6
End0.2
red by 3.7
4539
#10
28.50.6
39.4→38.7
Auto6.6
Teleop22.4
End-0.5
Third
4360
#9
12.00.1
11.3→11.4
Auto1.2
Teleop11.8
End-1.0
blue by 10.1
877
#7
22.10.6
24.0→23.3
Auto3.3
Teleop17.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsMissed21%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
77%Activation oddsMissed27%Activation oddsMissed