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Red98
467428.4
310239.5
327527.8
Blue103
704820.2
327729.0
453928.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75540204010012014098103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.50.0
39.639.7
Auto9.8
Teleop28.3
End1.4
red by 10.5
29.00.6
28.228.8
Auto3.4
Teleop24.5
End1.2
Second
28.40.0
28.528.5
Auto5.5
Teleop23.8
End-0.8
blue by 0.2
4539
#10
28.50.6
27.728.3
Auto6.6
Teleop22.4
End-0.5
Third
27.80.0
27.927.9
Auto7.1
Teleop20.4
End0.2
red by 7.6
20.20.6
19.320.0
Auto5.1
Teleop15.2
End-0.0