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Red104
704820.2
327729.0
453928.5
Blue102
467428.4
310239.5
327527.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56730204080100120140104102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.00.4
29.229.5
Auto3.4
Teleop24.5
End1.2
blue by 10.5
39.50.1
39.739.5
Auto9.8
Teleop28.3
End1.4
Second
4539
#10
28.50.4
28.729.0
Auto6.6
Teleop22.4
End-0.5
red by 0.2
28.40.1
28.528.4
Auto5.5
Teleop23.8
End-0.8
Third
20.20.4
20.320.7
Auto5.1
Teleop15.2
End-0.0
blue by 7.6
27.80.1
27.927.8
Auto7.1
Teleop20.4
End0.2