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Red104
318232.5
862626.8
910138.8
Blue154
632966.3
568755.9
99944.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8917350150200250104154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9101
#38
38.80.7
38.739.3
Auto11.0
Teleop19.6
End8.4
blue by 27.5
6329
#17
66.30.1
69.469.6
Auto15.3
Teleop39.2
End9.7
Second
3182
#42
32.50.7
31.532.1
Auto11.9
Teleop15.3
End5.5
blue by 23.5
55.90.1
50.150.2
Auto15.3
Teleop32.8
End6.7
Third
8626
#31
26.80.7
23.924.6
Auto7.6
Teleop12.1
End7.2
blue by 17.4
999
#20
44.20.1
40.340.4
Auto12.6
Teleop21.7
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
25%Sustainability oddsEarned94%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned