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Red154
860425.7
632966.3
808552.5
Blue157
23735.3
615344.1
12561.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153129100200250154157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6329
#17
66.30.9
68.169.0
Auto15.3
Teleop39.2
End9.7
red by 4.4
125
#3
61.92.2
51.653.8
Auto17.9
Teleop33.9
End9.7
Second
8085
#26
52.50.9
52.253.1
Auto12.6
Teleop30.8
End8.5
red by 8.5
6153
#28
44.12.2
39.341.5
Auto11.4
Teleop23.4
End9.0
Third
8604
#45
25.70.9
22.723.6
Auto9.1
Teleop10.0
End6.7
blue by 9.6
237
#14
35.32.2
33.035.2
Auto11.1
Teleop17.9
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
72%Sustainability oddsEarned20%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned