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Red140
862626.8
287637.4
17239.5
Blue136
15532.7
287750.9
676334.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8511250100150140136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172
#32
39.52.4
31.133.5
Auto10.1
Teleop23.4
End6.1
blue by 11.3
2877
#18
50.92.3
43.846.1
Auto12.9
Teleop29.5
End7.9
Second
2876
#37
37.42.4
31.533.9
Auto9.2
Teleop21.4
End6.6
red by 2.5
6763
#29
34.82.3
28.230.5
Auto8.6
Teleop18.5
End8.0
Third
8626
#31
26.82.4
21.023.4
Auto7.6
Teleop12.1
End7.2
blue by 5.9
155
#44
32.72.3
29.832.1
Auto9.7
Teleop14.6
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsEarned17%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
34%Activation oddsEarned62%Activation oddsEarned