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Red133
99944.2
13368.1
7851.0
Blue178
12561.9
320553.0
870840.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168126100150200250133178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#2
68.11.6
61.259.6
Auto18.7
Teleop38.7
End10.4
red by 6.2
125
#3
61.93.0
48.251.1
Auto17.9
Teleop33.9
End9.7
Second
78
#16
51.01.6
48.546.9
Auto13.4
Teleop29.3
End8.6
blue by 2.0
53.03.0
45.548.4
Auto13.0
Teleop31.4
End8.4
Third
999
#20
44.21.6
42.440.8
Auto12.6
Teleop21.7
End9.2
red by 3.9
8708
#23
40.23.0
30.133.0
Auto9.8
Teleop22.0
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
89%Sustainability oddsEarned46%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
98%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned