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Red101
107126.6
615344.1
872445.2
Blue98
7851.0
318232.5
816735.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113121608010014016018020010198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8724
#10
45.20.8
40.139.3
Auto12.3
Teleop24.1
End8.0
blue by 5.8
78
#16
51.01.0
47.946.9
Auto13.4
Teleop29.3
End8.6
Second
6153
#28
44.10.8
41.540.7
Auto11.4
Teleop23.4
End9.0
red by 8.3
8167
#41
35.71.0
32.131.2
Auto12.0
Teleop16.8
End7.0
Third
1071
#36
26.60.8
25.825.1
Auto7.8
Teleop12.0
End6.8
blue by 5.9
3182
#42
32.51.0
32.431.5
Auto11.9
Teleop15.3
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsMissed43%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsMissed