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Red128
511235.6
264835.1
237050.0
Blue152
568755.9
318232.5
287750.9
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11214350100200128152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2370
#24
50.01.3
46.047.3
Auto12.4
Teleop28.1
End9.0
blue by 5.9
55.91.4
50.451.9
Auto15.3
Teleop32.8
End6.7
Second
5112
#13
35.61.3
29.330.6
Auto10.4
Teleop17.2
End8.0
blue by 15.3
2877
#18
50.91.4
47.649.1
Auto12.9
Teleop29.5
End7.9
Third
2648
#40
35.11.3
33.334.6
Auto8.3
Teleop19.1
End7.8
red by 2.6
3182
#42
32.51.4
32.333.7
Auto11.9
Teleop15.3
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
41%Sustainability oddsEarned76%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned77%Activation oddsEarned