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Red139
456443.3
287750.9
22826.0
Blue129
910138.8
816735.7
581347.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119128406080100140160180200139129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#18
50.91.7
46.448.1
Auto12.9
Teleop29.5
End7.9
red by 3.3
5813
#19
47.60.4
46.846.3
Auto12.2
Teleop26.8
End8.5
Second
4564
#15
43.31.7
42.944.7
Auto12.9
Teleop24.3
End6.0
red by 4.6
9101
#38
38.80.4
37.937.4
Auto11.0
Teleop19.6
End8.4
Third
228
#34
26.01.7
23.625.3
Auto5.1
Teleop12.2
End8.9
blue by 9.8
8167
#41
35.70.4
34.133.6
Auto12.0
Teleop16.8
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
64%Sustainability oddsEarned68%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned