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Red114
615344.1
15532.7
545930.7
Blue154
19568.6
568755.9
769430.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9617350150200250114154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6153
#28
44.10.9
40.941.8
Auto11.4
Teleop23.4
End9.0
blue by 24.5
195
#4
68.60.3
67.867.6
Auto15.6
Teleop43.6
End8.7
Second
155
#44
32.70.9
30.331.2
Auto9.7
Teleop14.6
End8.6
blue by 23.2
55.90.3
54.754.4
Auto15.3
Teleop32.8
End6.7
Third
5459
#43
30.70.9
28.729.6
Auto11.4
Teleop12.9
End6.5
blue by 0.2
7694
#33
30.90.3
32.131.8
Auto11.2
Teleop12.2
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
19%Sustainability oddsEarned96%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned