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Red134
107126.6
490543.3
632966.3
Blue147
715343.9
456443.3
740757.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144152100120160180200220134147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6329
#17
66.31.8
67.966.1
Auto15.3
Teleop39.2
End9.7
red by 9.0
57.30.4
56.056.3
Auto16.6
Teleop32.3
End6.7
Second
4905
#22
43.31.8
42.740.9
Auto13.5
Teleop20.1
End9.4
blue by 0.6
43.90.4
42.042.4
Auto13.9
Teleop22.1
End8.0
Third
1071
#36
26.61.8
27.825.9
Auto7.8
Teleop12.0
End6.8
blue by 16.8
4564
#15
43.30.4
44.745.0
Auto12.9
Teleop24.3
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
83%Sustainability oddsMissed94%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned