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Red142
237050.0
110049.8
791335.5
Blue112
740757.3
22826.0
545930.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14011650100150200142112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2370
#24
50.00.3
47.047.3
Auto12.4
Teleop28.1
End9.0
blue by 7.3
57.30.3
56.356.0
Auto16.6
Teleop32.3
End6.7
Second
49.80.3
48.448.7
Auto11.7
Teleop28.3
End8.9
red by 19.1
5459
#43
30.70.3
29.629.3
Auto11.4
Teleop12.9
End6.5
Third
7913
#35
35.50.3
32.632.9
Auto9.0
Teleop18.6
End8.1
red by 9.6
228
#34
26.00.3
25.725.4
Auto5.1
Teleop12.2
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
84%Sustainability oddsEarned65%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsMissed