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Red109
632441.9
15532.7
816735.7
Blue160
808552.5
740757.3
888941.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9515150200109160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6324
#12
41.90.5
35.636.1
Auto12.7
Teleop24.5
End4.8
blue by 15.4
57.31.7
52.954.6
Auto16.6
Teleop32.3
End6.7
Second
8167
#41
35.70.5
30.430.9
Auto12.0
Teleop16.8
End7.0
blue by 16.8
8085
#26
52.51.7
50.552.2
Auto12.6
Teleop30.8
End8.5
Third
155
#44
32.70.5
30.430.9
Auto9.7
Teleop14.6
End8.6
blue by 9.1
8889
#25
41.91.7
33.935.7
Auto12.0
Teleop21.3
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
35%Sustainability oddsMissed48%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
69%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned