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Red117
287750.9
346132.9
365428.7
Blue142
287637.4
490543.3
320553.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11414150100150200117142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#18
50.90.4
49.950.3
Auto12.9
Teleop29.5
End7.9
blue by 2.2
53.00.9
52.453.3
Auto13.0
Teleop31.4
End8.4
Second
3461
#30
32.90.4
32.432.9
Auto9.2
Teleop17.0
End6.8
blue by 10.5
4905
#22
43.30.9
42.443.3
Auto13.5
Teleop20.1
End9.4
Third
3654
#39
28.70.4
28.328.7
Auto9.3
Teleop11.7
End8.0
blue by 8.7
2876
#37
37.40.9
36.537.4
Auto9.2
Teleop21.4
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
61%Sustainability oddsEarned57%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned