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Red176
456443.3
19568.6
808552.5
Blue140
31955.9
676334.8
12561.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175162100120140200220240260176140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#4
68.60.3
68.668.9
Auto15.6
Teleop43.6
End8.7
red by 6.7
125
#3
61.90.4
62.361.9
Auto17.9
Teleop33.9
End9.7
Second
8085
#26
52.50.3
52.652.9
Auto12.6
Teleop30.8
End8.5
blue by 3.4
319
#9
55.90.4
56.455.9
Auto16.0
Teleop32.9
End7.0
Third
4564
#15
43.30.3
43.443.7
Auto12.9
Teleop24.3
End6.0
red by 8.5
6763
#29
34.80.4
35.334.8
Auto8.6
Teleop18.5
End8.0