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Red183
175762.0
169945.2
17667.9
Blue163
632860.0
46742.9
17758.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182164100120140200220240183163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#10
67.90.3
67.567.9
Auto16.4
Teleop39.6
End10.6
red by 7.9
60.00.2
59.860.0
Auto19.4
Teleop30.9
End8.6
Second
62.00.3
61.662.0
Auto14.6
Teleop35.0
End10.8
red by 3.5
177
#2
58.50.2
58.358.5
Auto11.7
Teleop34.7
End10.7
Third
1699
#22
45.20.3
44.945.2
Auto15.1
Teleop22.7
End6.6
red by 2.3
467
#15
42.90.2
42.842.9
Auto8.4
Teleop25.4
End8.7