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Red148
490949.7
217038.9
13849.5
Blue117
169945.2
802336.2
490632.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13511050100150200148117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.71.7
45.947.5
Auto11.9
Teleop27.7
End9.7
red by 4.5
1699
#22
45.20.7
46.747.4
Auto15.1
Teleop22.7
End6.6
Second
138
#13
49.51.7
43.244.8
Auto12.1
Teleop29.5
End7.0
red by 13.3
8023
#35
36.20.7
34.335.0
Auto10.5
Teleop18.7
End7.3
Third
2170
#14
38.91.7
34.235.8
Auto8.4
Teleop21.6
End9.3
red by 6.7
4906
#34
32.20.7
25.526.2
Auto10.3
Teleop14.0
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
31%Sustainability oddsEarned26%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned