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Red110
24640.8
192247.0
271345.3
Blue121
169945.2
5839.0
50937.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12912750100150200110121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.00.7
41.340.5
Auto10.7
Teleop28.7
End7.9
red by 1.8
1699
#22
45.20.1
47.447.5
Auto15.1
Teleop22.7
End6.6
Second
2713
#16
45.30.7
43.542.8
Auto9.1
Teleop27.5
End8.3
red by 6.3
58
#42
39.00.1
42.742.8
Auto12.3
Teleop19.0
End7.9
Third
246
#24
40.80.7
36.235.4
Auto10.4
Teleop21.9
End7.9
red by 3.6
509
#21
37.20.1
29.029.1
Auto11.6
Teleop17.9
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
85%Sustainability oddsEarned27%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned