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Red97
6136.1
50126.7
8853.2
Blue145
107347.0
176857.9
206750.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1141525010020025097145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#26
53.21.7
53.051.3
Auto11.0
Teleop32.5
End8.9
blue by 4.6
1768
#17
57.90.2
57.056.8
Auto13.7
Teleop34.1
End8.3
Second
61
#36
36.11.7
34.132.4
Auto10.3
Teleop16.5
End9.6
blue by 14.5
2067
#29
50.60.2
44.444.2
Auto13.0
Teleop27.2
End9.1
Third
501
#44
26.71.7
25.123.4
Auto6.5
Teleop12.4
End8.0
blue by 20.2
1073
#18
47.00.2
40.039.8
Auto13.0
Teleop25.8
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
41%Sustainability oddsMissed69%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned