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Red142
8853.2
16648.1
5839.0
Blue157
404140.9
632860.0
174049.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15014250100200250142157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#26
53.20.1
51.351.4
Auto11.0
Teleop32.5
End8.9
blue by 6.7
60.00.5
54.154.6
Auto19.4
Teleop30.9
End8.6
Second
166
#30
48.10.1
45.946.0
Auto8.2
Teleop29.4
End9.9
blue by 1.7
1740
#11
49.80.5
44.344.8
Auto14.0
Teleop27.1
End7.7
Third
58
#42
39.00.1
42.843.0
Auto12.3
Teleop19.0
End7.9
blue by 1.9
4041
#27
40.90.5
38.338.8
Auto12.2
Teleop20.3
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
82%Sustainability oddsEarned68%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned