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Red138
242327.8
57135.3
804648.6
Blue124
105842.9
50937.2
17667.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10114750200138124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.61.8
47.449.3
Auto14.2
Teleop24.3
End9.4
blue by 19.3
176
#10
67.90.6
66.565.9
Auto16.4
Teleop39.6
End10.6
Second
571
#28
35.31.8
29.731.6
Auto9.0
Teleop21.0
End5.7
blue by 7.6
1058
#38
42.90.6
37.436.9
Auto10.6
Teleop24.2
End8.1
Third
2423
#43
27.81.8
23.225.0
Auto8.6
Teleop13.0
End6.5
blue by 9.4
509
#21
37.20.6
29.629.0
Auto11.6
Teleop17.9
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
62%Sustainability oddsEarned62%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsMissed