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Red183
17532.6
17758.5
107347.0
Blue131
71636.4
13849.5
206750.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134133110120140150160170180183131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#2
58.52.4
53.555.9
Auto11.7
Teleop34.7
End10.7
red by 7.8
2067
#29
50.60.4
42.242.6
Auto13.0
Teleop27.2
End9.1
Second
1073
#18
47.02.4
42.444.8
Auto13.0
Teleop25.8
End8.0
blue by 2.5
138
#13
49.50.4
48.649.0
Auto12.1
Teleop29.5
End7.0
Third
175
#33
32.62.4
29.131.5
Auto8.5
Teleop15.1
End9.4
blue by 3.7
716
#31
36.40.4
37.638.0
Auto10.9
Teleop16.5
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
36%Sustainability oddsEarned67%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned