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Red181
50937.2
23062.9
632860.0
Blue104
804648.6
856739.4
404140.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153126100200181104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#5
62.92.4
57.660.0
Auto17.3
Teleop35.0
End8.8
red by 14.3
48.61.2
49.348.1
Auto14.2
Teleop24.3
End9.4
Second
60.02.4
56.959.3
Auto19.4
Teleop30.9
End8.6
red by 19.1
4041
#27
40.91.2
37.936.8
Auto12.2
Teleop20.3
End8.1
Third
509
#21
37.22.4
29.031.4
Auto11.6
Teleop17.9
End7.6
blue by 2.3
8567
#19
39.41.2
36.735.5
Auto7.1
Teleop24.5
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
85%Sustainability oddsEarned76%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsMissed