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Red115
124719.7
46742.9
176857.9
Blue155
57135.3
8853.2
175762.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12215250100200115155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
#17
57.90.2
57.257.0
Auto13.7
Teleop34.1
End8.3
blue by 4.1
62.01.1
57.458.4
Auto14.6
Teleop35.0
End10.8
Second
467
#15
42.90.2
39.239.0
Auto8.4
Teleop25.4
End8.7
blue by 10.3
88
#26
53.21.1
50.051.1
Auto11.0
Teleop32.5
End8.9
Third
1247
#45
19.70.2
21.921.7
Auto5.4
Teleop8.7
End6.0
blue by 15.6
571
#28
35.31.1
31.632.6
Auto9.0
Teleop21.0
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
64%Sustainability oddsEarned89%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
71%Activation oddsMissed74%Activation oddsEarned