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Red164
23062.9
105842.9
192247.0
Blue137
176857.9
8853.2
71636.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151150130140160170180164137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#5
62.90.3
60.060.2
Auto17.3
Teleop35.0
End8.8
red by 5.0
1768
#17
57.90.3
57.056.7
Auto13.7
Teleop34.1
End8.3
Second
47.00.3
44.745.0
Auto10.7
Teleop28.7
End7.9
blue by 6.2
88
#26
53.20.3
51.150.8
Auto11.0
Teleop32.5
End8.9
Third
1058
#38
42.90.3
36.236.5
Auto10.6
Teleop24.2
End8.1
red by 6.6
716
#31
36.40.3
38.037.7
Auto10.9
Teleop16.5
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
91%Sustainability oddsEarned82%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned